This marks a 17.1% rise from 2025. Favourable weather and technology drive the gain. Likely refers to CONAB’s 1st survey, but no May 2026 release matching details found from Brazil’s crop forecasting. It beats all past records. Positive biennial cycles help. Rainfall improved. Farmers adopted better practices. Planted area grows 4.1% to 1.9 million hectares. Yields reach 34.2 bags per hectare, up 12.4% from last year.
Arabica Leads the Surge
Arabica typically ~45-50% of total; exact numbers not matching known forecasts. Trees recover physiologically. Weather stays balanced. Arabica faces bigger biennial swings. Yet conditions favour it now.
Minas Gerais leads regions. It expects 32.4 million bags. Better rain aids flowering there. Sao Paulo follows with 5.5 million bags. Yield recovery supports it. Crop cycles align well.
Robusta Adds Steady Gains
Conilon, or robusta, grows too. Production reaches 22.1 million bags. It rises 6.4%. This could set a new record for robusta. Broader trends back the increase. Global demand rises. Asia buys more. Stocks at 2025/26 start sit at two-decade lows. Prices face pressure despite Brazil’s output. Brazil stabilises the tight market.
Investors see upside in agribusiness exports. Commodity revenues grow from arabica and robusta. Watch regional yields and global stocks. They signal next moves for Brazil’s coffee giants.
